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Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Tyler Allgeier in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 10:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Zonovan Knight: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Tyler Allgeier: Listed Questionable (Toe) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Tyler Allgeier: 54 percent of the snaps and 43 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Brian Thomas Jr.'s 52 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Tyler Allgeier?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Brian Thomas Jr. 49 (5.4 a game over 9 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR47 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Market-based projection
3.7 pts a game

RB44 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs carries line 4-4

Market-based projection
4.3 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
129

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 128th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Allgeier, and the board ranks him 129th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Brian Thomas Jr.'s market-based projection is 3.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 129th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 2.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyler Allgeier's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 52 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 5 third down targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 19.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 51 percent of ARI snaps, taken 35 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 88 third down targets, had 4 of its 29 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 57 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have come 2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against LAR he carried 18 times for 38 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DEN he carried 8 times for 19 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DAL he carried 11 times for 147 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 44 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.

That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Allgeier was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Tyler Allgeier 7.2, 2.7 a game between them.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished WR42 and Tyler Allgeier RB39, which are two different ladders.

Brian Thomas Jr. is a wide receiver and Tyler Allgeier a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7 and Tyler Allgeier in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Tyler Allgeier has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Tyler Allgeier?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Brian Thomas Jr. 49 (5.4 a game over 9 games).

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Brian Thomas Jr.?

    No. Keep Tyler Allgeier: he projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Brian Thomas Jr. 49 (5.4 a game over 9 games).

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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