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Should I start Van Jefferson or Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 12:21 PM ET.

Week 10 verdict

Start

WR · WAS · at NYG

Market projects
4.1
fantasy pts
NYG D vs WR
29.9
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
29 of 100 at WR
Snap share
25%
Through Week 9
Target share
10%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
3.9
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs WR
40.7
most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
58 of 100 at WR
Snap share
43%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Start Jefferson or Thomas? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Van Jefferson over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR17 · WAS · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 1-15

Market-based projection
4.1 pts a game

WR66 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
4.0 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
158

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Van Jefferson, and the board ranks him 51st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 158th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Van Jefferson's market-based projection is 4.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 54th highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Brian Thomas Jr. at 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Van Jefferson has been on the field for 25 percent of WAS snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 11.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against NYG he was not given the ball.

In Week 8 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LAR he caught 5 of 7 targets for 58 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 43 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 19.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BAL he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Van Jefferson played 16 games and scored 70.0 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing WR88.

He caught 29 of 52 targets for 350 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.3 targets a game, a 56 percent catch rate and 12.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Van Jefferson was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Van Jefferson 4.4, 5.5 a game between them.

Van Jefferson finished WR88 that year and Brian Thomas Jr. WR42.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 39 more targets than Van Jefferson, 91 to 52.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 357 more receiving yards than Van Jefferson, 707 to 350.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 43 percent against 25 percent.

This season Van Jefferson holds the bigger target share, 10 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 7, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

Brian Thomas Jr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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