Start Van Jefferson or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Van Jefferson over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Van Jefferson at 4.1 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.1 fantasy points for Van Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Van Jefferson is 16 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 12 and 14 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Van Jefferson 0.2 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Van Jefferson and WAS visit NYG on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NYG allowed 29.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 123 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against NYG.

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Van Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Van Jefferson played 25 percent of WAS snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Van Jefferson, Week 5 against NYG: 3 of 62 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Van Jefferson, Week 8 against PHI: 7 of 60 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Van Jefferson, Week 9 against LAR: 36 of 62 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 58 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Van Jefferson played 16 games for TEN and scored 70.0 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing WR88.

He caught 29 of 52 targets for 350 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets and 267 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Van Jefferson over Calvin Ridley.
• Start Van Jefferson over Darnell Mooney.
• Start Van Jefferson over Jack Bech.
• Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Calvin Ridley.
• Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Darnell Mooney.
• Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Jack Bech.