Should I start Brock Bowers or Derrick Henry in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Brock Bowers's market-based projection is 17.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Derrick Henry's market-based projection is 12.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 55th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brock Bowers, and the board ranks him 23rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 17; 2QB: ADP 32.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 33rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Brock Bowers has been on the field for 83 percent of LV snaps, drawn 28 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 23 of the offence's 60 third down targets, had 2 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 36 two minute targets.

His 61 targets have averaged 10.0 air yards.

In Week 6 against BUF he caught 4 of 9 targets for 70 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against LAR he caught 6 of 8 targets for 73 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against NYJ he caught 7 of 10 targets for 92 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 56 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 16 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 11 times for 53 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brock Bowers played 12 games and scored 176.2 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE11.

He caught 64 of 86 targets for 680 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 74 percent catch rate and 10.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Derrick Henry was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Brock Bowers 14.7, 1.8 a game between them.

Brock Bowers finished TE11 and Derrick Henry RB8, which are two different ladders.

Brock Bowers is a tight end and Derrick Henry a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

4.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.