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Start Derrick Henry or Braelon Allen? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:41 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Braelon Allen: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen

Henry projects lower, 13.9 to 15.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 15 for Henry, 180 for Allen.

Start

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
13.8
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
17.3
2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
57%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

Braelon Allen

RB · NYJ · at KC

Market projects
15.4
recent weeks avg
KC D vs RB
19.5
9th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
64%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Braelon Allen for Derrick Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games), Braelon Allen 88 (11.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 13.8 points and Braelon Allen at 15.4, a gap of 1.6. Derrick Henry still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 15 against 180, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Braelon Allen this week yet, so his 15.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (13.8, 15.7 and 16.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Braelon Allen yet. His market-based projections were 13.8, 15.7 and 16.8 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 13.9 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 71 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.7 touchdowns (12, 10, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Braelon Allen 1.6 points ahead of Derrick Henry on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Braelon Allen and NYJ visit KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 72 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 37 more yards.

Derrick Henry and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 52 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX and caught passes for 38 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Braelon Allen played 64 percent of NYJ snaps, took 56 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 32 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 5 against CLE: 60 of 70 snaps, 24 carries for 116 yards, 4 targets and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 6 against NE: 54 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 78 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 7 against MIA: 46 of 59 snaps, 17 carries for 104 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 30 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 8 against LV: 21 carries for 147 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry played 57 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Braelon Allen for Derrick Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games), Braelon Allen 88 (11.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen.

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Braelon Allen?

    No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games), Braelon Allen 88 (11.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen.

Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board