Should I start Cade Otton or Charlie Kolar in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Cade Otton's market-based projection is 7.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 105th highest figure of the 206 players with a market-based projection.

Charlie Kolar's market-based projection is 6.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 123rd highest figure of the 206 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Cade Otton: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Charlie Kolar: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 146th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Cade Otton has been on the field for 93 percent of TB snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 6.9 air yards.

In Week 3 against MIN he caught 3 of 6 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he caught 3 of 4 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Charlie Kolar has been on the field for 65 percent of LAC snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 23 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 6.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against ARI he was not given the ball.

In Week 2 against LV he caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Cade Otton played 16 games and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 5.1 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 9.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Charlie Kolar played 17 games and scored 36.2 PPR points, 2.1 a game, finishing TE62.

He caught 10 of 15 targets for 142 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 0.9 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 14.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Charlie Kolar was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Cade Otton scored 7.6 PPR points a game and Charlie Kolar 2.1, 5.5 a game between them.

Cade Otton finished TE22 that year and Charlie Kolar TE62.

Cade Otton had 66 more targets than Charlie Kolar, 81 to 15.

Cade Otton had 430 more receiving yards than Charlie Kolar, 572 to 142.

This season Cade Otton holds the bigger snap share, 93 percent against 65 percent.

This season Cade Otton holds the bigger target share, 18 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Cade Otton is off in Week 10 and Charlie Kolar in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.