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Should I start Caleb Douglas or Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 1:24 PM ET.

Start Chris Godwin Jr.: 77 percent of the snaps and 43 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Caleb Douglas's 80 percent of the snaps and 16 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR61 · MIA · bye 6

Overall rank
143

WR62 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 0-8

Market-based projection
10.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
144

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The gap

  • Board size302 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 143rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Godwin Jr., and the board ranks him 144th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 21; 2QB: ADP 45.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Caleb Douglas is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has Chris Godwin Jr. at 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Caleb Douglas's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Chris Godwin Jr. has been on the field for 77 percent of TB snaps, drawn 43 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 7 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 3 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 1.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against CAR he caught 4 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against ATL he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 5.7 targets a game, a 65 percent catch rate and 10.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 77 percent.

This season Chris Godwin Jr. holds the bigger target share, 43 percent against 19 percent.

Byes and availability

Caleb Douglas is off in Week 6 and Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr.?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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