Should I start Ladd McConkey or Caleb Douglas in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Ladd McConkey's market-based projection is 10.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 83rd highest figure of the 226 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 8.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 107th highest figure of the 226 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ladd McConkey, and the board ranks him 69th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 14; 2QB: ADP 35.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 97th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Ladd McConkey has been on the field for 53 percent of LAC snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 22 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 12.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against SEA he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against KC he caught 1 of 1 target for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LAR he caught 4 of 6 targets for 86 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Ladd McConkey played 16 games and scored 180.9 PPR points, 11.3 a game, finishing WR30.

He caught 66 of 106 targets for 789 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 53 percent.

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

Ladd McConkey is off in Week 7 and Caleb Douglas in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.