Should I start DJ Moore or Caleb Douglas in Week 9?

The market-based projections

DJ Moore's market-based projection is 10.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 58th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 70th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on DJ Moore, and the board ranks him 44th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 16; 2QB: ADP 37.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 50th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, DJ Moore has been on the field for 55 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 38 third down targets, had 1 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 15.0 air yards.

In Week 3 against LAC he caught 6 of 10 targets for 67 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NE he carried 1 time for 6 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BAL he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 4 of 7 targets for 82 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 DJ Moore played 17 games and scored 170.2 PPR points, 10.0 a game, finishing WR35.

He caught 50 of 85 targets for 682 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 5.0 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 13.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 55 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 19 percent each.

Byes and availability

DJ Moore is off in Week 7 and Caleb Douglas in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

DJ Moore is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.