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Start Caleb Douglas or Keenan Allen? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 10:16 AM ET.

Start

WR · IND · vs DAL

Market projects
10.2
recent weeks avg
DAL D vs WR
35.6
7th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
98 of 100 at WR
Snap share
59%
Through Week 8
Target share
22%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · MIA · vs DET

Market projects
8.3
fantasy pts
DET D vs WR
37.7
3rd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
87 of 100 at WR
Snap share
82%
Through Week 8
Target share
19%
Through Week 8

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Our Week 9 call

Start Keenan Allen over Caleb Douglas in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Keenan Allen at 10.2 points and Caleb Douglas at 8.3, a gap of 1.8. No player market is posted for Keenan Allen this week yet, so his 10.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (11.2, 10.1 and 9.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Keenan Allen at ADP 142 and Caleb Douglas at 215.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Caleb Douglas, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Douglas is 39 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 11 and 12 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Keenan Allen yet. His market-based projections were 11.2, 10.1 and 9.2 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 10.2, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Keenan Allen is 0.3 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Keenan Allen 1.8 points ahead of Caleb Douglas on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Caleb Douglas and MIA host DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against DET.

Keenan Allen and IND host DAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DAL allowed 35.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Douglas has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Douglas is not on the injury report.

Keenan Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas played 82 percent of MIA snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 28 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Caleb Douglas, Week 1 against LV: 51 of 56 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 94 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 2 against SF: 51 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 7 against NYJ: 44 of 65 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 70 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Caleb Douglas, Week 8 against NE: 56 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards.

Through Week 8, Keenan Allen played 59 percent of IND snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Keenan Allen, Week 5 against PIT: 32 of 71 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 45 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 6 against TEN: 59 of 83 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 82 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 7 against MIN: 30 of 58 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 8 against JAX: 32 of 61 snaps, 7 targets and 7 catches for 67 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keenan Allen played 17 games for LAC and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 546 air yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board