Should I start Caleb Douglas or Keon Coleman in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 70th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Keon Coleman's market-based projection is 6.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 87th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 50th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Keon Coleman, and the board ranks him 66th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Keon Coleman has been on the field for 70 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 1 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 15.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 4 of 6 targets for 59 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against BAL he caught 1 of 3 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Keon Coleman played 13 games and scored 102.4 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR60.

He caught 38 of 59 targets for 404 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 4-5 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 10.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 70 percent.

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

Caleb Douglas is off in Week 6 and Keon Coleman in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.