Should I start Stefon Diggs or Caleb Douglas in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Stefon Diggs's market-based projection is 9.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 82nd highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 9.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 5 market sources. That is the 88th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Stefon Diggs, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 47.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 78th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Stefon Diggs has been on the field for 61 percent of WAS snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 2 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 49 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 6 against SF he caught 6 of 7 targets for 44 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against PHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 38 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LAR he caught 3 of 5 targets for 51 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 81 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DET he caught 6 of 8 targets for 70 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Stefon Diggs played 17 games and scored 210.3 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR17.

He caught 85 of 102 targets for 1013 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 83 percent catch rate and 11.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 61 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 22 percent each.

Byes and availability

Stefon Diggs is off in Week 7 and Caleb Douglas in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.