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Start Stefon Diggs or Caleb Douglas? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 6:26 PM ET.

Start Stefon Diggs over Caleb Douglas

Start

Stefon Diggs

WR · WAS · at NYG

Market projects
9.5
fantasy pts
NYG D vs WR
29.9
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
47 of 100 at WR
Snap share
61%
Through Week 9
Target share
22%
Through Week 9
Sit

Caleb Douglas

WR · MIA · at IND

Market projects
9.2
fantasy pts
IND D vs WR
27.4
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
78 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
22%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Caleb Douglas for Stefon Diggs?

Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Douglas projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games) and Stefon Diggs 75 (9.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Stefon Diggs over Caleb Douglas, 9.5 to 9.2 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Stefon Diggs over Caleb Douglas in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Stefon Diggs at 9.5 points and Caleb Douglas at 9.2, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Stefon Diggs at ADP 99 and Caleb Douglas at 215.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.5 fantasy points for Stefon Diggs, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Stefon Diggs is 40 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (15, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.2 fantasy points for Caleb Douglas, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Douglas is 42 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (8, 9 and 7 market sources).

That puts Stefon Diggs 0.3 points ahead of Caleb Douglas on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Stefon Diggs and WAS visit NYG on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NYG allowed 29.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 123 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against NYG.

Caleb Douglas and MIA visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 27.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND.

By points allowed to the position, Stefon Diggs has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Stefon Diggs is not on the injury report.

Caleb Douglas is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Stefon Diggs played 61 percent of WAS snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Stefon Diggs, Week 4 against IND: 42 of 64 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards.

Stefon Diggs, Week 6 against SF: 41 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 44 yards, 1 touchdown.

Stefon Diggs, Week 8 against PHI: 39 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards, 1 touchdown.

Stefon Diggs, Week 9 against LAR: 38 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 51 yards.

Through Week 9, Caleb Douglas played 81 percent of MIA snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Caleb Douglas, Week 2 against SF: 51 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 7 against NYJ: 44 of 65 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 70 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Caleb Douglas, Week 8 against NE: 56 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 9 against DET: 42 of 57 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Stefon Diggs played 17 games for NE and scored 210.3 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR17.

He caught 85 of 102 targets for 1013 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 659 air yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Caleb Douglas for Stefon Diggs?

    Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Douglas projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games) and Stefon Diggs 75 (9.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Stefon Diggs over Caleb Douglas, 9.5 to 9.2 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Stefon Diggs for Caleb Douglas?

    Not on these numbers alone. Stefon Diggs projects 75 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.4 a game over 8 games) and Caleb Douglas 74 (9.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Stefon Diggs over Caleb Douglas, 9.5 to 9.2 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Caleb Douglas?Should I drop Stefon Diggs?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board