Should I start Tre Tucker or Caleb Douglas in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Tre Tucker's market-based projection is 9.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 67th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 70th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tre Tucker, and the board ranks him 48th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 50th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Tre Tucker has been on the field for 67 percent of LV snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 77 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 13.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against BUF he caught 5 of 7 targets for 97 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 7 against LAR he caught 5 of 12 targets for 103 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against NYJ he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tre Tucker played 17 games and scored 161.7 PPR points, 9.5 a game, finishing WR38.

He caught 57 of 92 targets for 696 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 5.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 67 percent.

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 17 percent.

Byes and availability

Tre Tucker is off in Week 13 and Caleb Douglas in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.