Should I start Caleb Williams or Justice Hill in Week 8?

The market-based projections

Caleb Williams's market-based projection is 17.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 10th highest figure of the 200 players with a market-based projection.

Justice Hill's market-based projection is 5.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 79th highest figure of the 200 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 150 dropbacks and scrambled 14 times.

In Week 2 against MIN he completed 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 42 yards.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

Through Week 7, Justice Hill has been on the field for 43 percent of BAL snaps, taken 10 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 1.2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 4 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 12.6 a game between them.

Caleb Williams finished QB5 and Justice Hill RB60, which are two different ladders.

Caleb Williams is a quarterback and Justice Hill a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Justice Hill in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

12.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.