Start Kenny Gainwell or Justice Hill? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 4:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 25, 3:13 PM ET: Kenny Gainwell: Listed Questionable (Hip) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Kenny Gainwell over Justice Hill

Start

Kenny Gainwell

RB · TB · vs ATL · Questionable

Market projects: 6.0; recent weeks avg
ATL D vs RB: 24.6; 8th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 40 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 35%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · at BUF

Market projects: 5.1; recent weeks avg
BUF D vs RB: 27.3; 3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 55 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 43%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Justice Hill for Kenny Gainwell?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenny Gainwell projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Justice Hill 24 (2.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Justice Hill. Kenny Gainwell is listed questionable.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Kenny Gainwell over Justice Hill in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 6.0 points and Justice Hill at 5.1, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell this week yet, so his 6.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (5.3, 6.5 and 6.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (6.2, 4.6 and 4.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Kenny Gainwell at ADP 95 and Justice Hill at 206.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell yet. His market-based projections were 5.3, 6.5 and 6.2 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 6.0, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 6.2, 4.6 and 4.6 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 5.1, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Kenny Gainwell 0.9 points ahead of Justice Hill on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Kenny Gainwell and TB host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 24.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and a touchdown a game against ATL and caught passes for 39 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL visit BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 47 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kenny Gainwell is listed as questionable with a hip injury.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Kenny Gainwell played 35 percent of TB snaps, took 16 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 6 against PIT: 11 of 74 snaps, 2 carries for 17 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 7 against CAR: 19 of 63 snaps, 14 carries for 88 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 7, Justice Hill played 43 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justice Hill for Kenny Gainwell?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenny Gainwell projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Justice Hill 24 (2.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Justice Hill. Kenny Gainwell is listed questionable.
Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Justice Hill?
No. Keep Kenny Gainwell: he projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Justice Hill 24 (2.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Justice Hill. Kenny Gainwell is listed questionable.

Should I drop Justice Hill?Should I drop Kenny Gainwell?