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Should I start Caleb Williams or Marvin Harrison Jr. in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 7:41 AM ET.

Start Caleb Williams: 95 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Marvin Harrison Jr.'s 21 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB7 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 4-1

Overall rank
72

WR37 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Marvin Harrison Jr., and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 19; 2QB: ADP 41.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 18.7 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 15 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Marvin Harrison Jr.'s market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 99th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Williams's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 186 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 186 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

In Week 8 against SEA he completed 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Through Week 7, Marvin Harrison Jr. has been on the field for 21 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 20.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against NYG he caught 1 of 4 targets for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Marvin Harrison Jr. played 12 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR49.

He caught 41 of 73 targets for 608 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 6.1 targets a game, a 56 percent catch rate and 14.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Marvin Harrison Jr. 10.7, 8.5 a game between them.

Caleb Williams finished QB5 and Marvin Harrison Jr. WR49, which are two different ladders.

Caleb Williams is a quarterback and Marvin Harrison Jr. a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Marvin Harrison Jr. in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Caleb Williams has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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