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Should I start Lamar Jackson or Caleb Williams in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 2:06 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Fantasy buzz: Minshew takes over in Arizona; Lamar Jackson on IR (ESPN)
  • : Lamar Jackson: Listed Out (Thumb) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Lamar Jackson expected to play as Ravens QB calls ankle pain 'bearable' (ESPN)

Start Caleb Williams: 95 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Lamar Jackson's 55 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Lamar Jackson for Caleb Williams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Lamar Jackson 123 (15.4 a game over 8 games). Lamar Jackson is listed out.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB2 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 3-2

Market-based projection
19.2 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
37

QB3 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 4-1

Overall rank
42

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The gap

  • Board size302 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Lamar Jackson, and the board ranks him 37th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 3.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 42nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for Lamar Jackson, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 18.8 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 6 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Lamar Jackson has been on the field for 73 percent of BAL snaps, dropped back 112 times and thrown 10.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 13 of 112 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against DAL he completed 15 of 20 passes for 186 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 6 times for 50 yards.

In Week 4 against TEN he completed 15 of 20 passes for 222 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 20 yards.

In Week 8 against BUF he completed 0 of 1 pass for 0 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 8, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 186 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 186 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

In Week 8 against SEA he completed 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Lamar Jackson played 13 games and scored 221.9 PPR points, 17.1 a game, finishing QB20.

He threw for 2549 yards on 302 attempts with 21 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 349 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 23.2 attempts a game at 8.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 92 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Lamar Jackson 17.1, 2.1 a game between them.

Lamar Jackson finished QB20 that year and Caleb Williams QB5.

Caleb Williams had 266 more pass attempts than Lamar Jackson, 568 to 302.

Caleb Williams had 1393 more passing yards than Lamar Jackson, 3942 to 2549.

This season Caleb Williams holds the bigger snap share, 97 percent against 73 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Lamar Jackson is off in Week 13 and Caleb Williams in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Lamar Jackson is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Lamar Jackson for Caleb Williams?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Lamar Jackson 123 (15.4 a game over 8 games). Lamar Jackson is listed out.

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Lamar Jackson?

    No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Lamar Jackson 123 (15.4 a game over 8 games). Lamar Jackson is listed out.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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