Nico Collins or Carnell Tate: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Nico Collins's market-based projection is 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 34th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Carnell Tate's market-based projection is 11.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 69th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Nico Collins: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 23rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Carnell Tate: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 52nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Nico Collins has been on the field for 71 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 19 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have averaged 12.6 air yards.

In Week 1 against BUF he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against DAL he caught 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against TEN he caught 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Carnell Tate has been on the field for 82 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 13.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against NYG he caught 6 of 9 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against BAL he caught 9 of 12 targets for 145 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against HOU he caught 1 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Nico Collins played 15 games and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 8.0 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 15.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Carnell Tate is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Carnell Tate holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 71 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 26 percent each.

Byes and availability

Nico Collins is off in Week 8 and Carnell Tate in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

4.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.