Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Chig Okonkwo in Week 8?

The market-based projections

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 79th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Chig Okonkwo's market-based projection is 8.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 102nd highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 61st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chig Okonkwo, and the board ranks him 98th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 68 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 29 targets have averaged 9.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Chig Okonkwo has been on the field for 65 percent of WAS snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 33 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 6.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against IND he caught 2 of 4 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NYG he caught 4 of 6 targets for 60 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against SF he caught 7 of 7 targets for 69 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chig Okonkwo played 17 games and scored 124.0 PPR points, 7.3 a game, finishing TE21.

He caught 56 of 79 targets for 560 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chig Okonkwo was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid scored 10.5 PPR points a game and Chig Okonkwo 7.3, 3.2 a game between them.

Dalton Kincaid finished TE20 that year and Chig Okonkwo TE21.

Chig Okonkwo had 30 more targets than Dalton Kincaid, 79 to 49.

Dalton Kincaid had 11 more receiving yards than Chig Okonkwo, 571 to 560.

This season Dalton Kincaid holds the bigger snap share, 68 percent against 65 percent.

This season Dalton Kincaid holds the bigger target share, 18 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 7, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Dalton Kincaid is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

2.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.