Should I start Chris Olave or DK Metcalf in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Chris Olave's market-based projection is 16.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 9th highest figure of the 160 players with a market-based projection.

DK Metcalf's market-based projection is 12.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 160 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Olave, and the board ranks him 7th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In standard drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on DK Metcalf, and the board ranks him 13th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Chris Olave has been on the field for 86 percent of NO snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 1 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 61 targets have averaged 12.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ATL he caught 8 of 12 targets for 116 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYG he caught 4 of 7 targets for 43 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, DK Metcalf has been on the field for 95 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 24 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 1 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 52 targets have averaged 12.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against CLE he caught 5 of 9 targets for 115 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 11 of 15 targets for 93 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chris Olave played 16 games and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 9.8 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 DK Metcalf played 15 games and scored 187.2 PPR points, 12.5 a game, finishing WR26.

He caught 59 of 99 targets for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 14.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chris Olave was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Chris Olave scored 16.8 PPR points a game and DK Metcalf 12.5, 4.3 a game between them.

Chris Olave finished WR6 that year and DK Metcalf WR26.

Chris Olave had 57 more targets than DK Metcalf, 156 to 99.

Chris Olave had 313 more receiving yards than DK Metcalf, 1163 to 850.

This season DK Metcalf holds the bigger snap share, 95 percent against 86 percent.

This season Chris Olave holds the bigger target share, 27 percent against 24 percent.

Byes and availability

Chris Olave is off in Week 8 and DK Metcalf in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

3.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.