Should I start Chris Olave or Efton Chism III in Week 9?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Olave, and the board ranks him 155th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In standard drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism III, and the board ranks him 163rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Chris Olave is 2.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 2.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 10 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Chris Olave's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, Chris Olave has been on the field for 81 percent of NO snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 19 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 1 of its 23 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 38 two minute targets.

His 71 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 5 against MIN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYG he caught 4 of 7 targets for 43 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against PIT he caught 6 of 10 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Efton Chism III has been on the field for 76 percent of NE snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 4.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 1 of 1 target for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against MIA he caught 5 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chris Olave played 16 games and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 9.8 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Efton Chism III played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chris Olave was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Chris Olave scored 16.8 PPR points a game and Efton Chism III 2.1, 14.8 a game between them.

Chris Olave had 153 more targets than Efton Chism III, 156 to 3.

Chris Olave had 1088 more receiving yards than Efton Chism III, 1163 to 75.

This season Chris Olave holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 76 percent.

This season Chris Olave holds the bigger target share, 27 percent against 12 percent.

Byes and availability

Chris Olave is off in Week 8 and Efton Chism III in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.