Chris Olave or Michael Wilson: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Chris Olave at 17.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 19th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Wilson at 15.8 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 34th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Chris Olave: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 12th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In standard drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Wilson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 20th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Chris Olave has been on the field for 85 percent of NO snaps, drawn 28 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 1 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 13.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against BAL he caught 8 of 10 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against LV he caught 9 of 13 targets for 107 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against ATL he caught 8 of 12 targets for 116 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 91 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 4 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 9.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against SEA he caught 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against SF he caught 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYG he caught 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chris Olave played 16 games and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 9.8 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Wilson was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Chris Olave scored 16.8 PPR points a game and Michael Wilson 13.0, 3.8 a game between them.

Chris Olave finished WR6 that year and Michael Wilson WR10.

Chris Olave had 30 more targets than Michael Wilson, 156 to 126.

Chris Olave had 157 more receiving yards than Michael Wilson, 1163 to 1006.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 91 percent against 85 percent.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 28 percent.

Byes and availability

Chris Olave is off in Week 8 and Michael Wilson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.