Should I start Christian Kirk or Jaylin Noel in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Christian Kirk's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 116th highest figure of the 205 players with a market-based projection.

Jaylin Noel's market-based projection is 6.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 118th highest figure of the 205 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Christian Kirk, and the board ranks him 131st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylin Noel, and the board ranks him 133rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

The usage feed holds no snap or target counts for Christian Kirk this season.

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel has been on the field for 46 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 85 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 4 of 4 targets for 107 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Christian Kirk played 13 games and scored 57.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR100.

He caught 28 of 52 targets for 239 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 54 percent catch rate and 9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 48 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jaylin Noel played 17 games and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 2.1 targets a game, a 74 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jaylin Noel was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Christian Kirk scored 4.5 PPR points a game and Jaylin Noel 4.0, 0.4 a game between them.

Christian Kirk finished WR100 that year and Jaylin Noel WR91.

Christian Kirk had 17 more targets than Jaylin Noel, 52 to 35.

Jaylin Noel had 53 more receiving yards than Christian Kirk, 292 to 239.

Byes and availability

Jaylin Noel is off in Week 8. No bye is listed for Christian Kirk.

Christian Kirk is listed as ir on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.