Should I start Jaylin Noel or Tez Johnson in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Jaylin Noel's market-based projection is 6.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 117th highest figure of the 205 players with a market-based projection.

Tez Johnson's market-based projection is 6.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 118th highest figure of the 205 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylin Noel, and the board ranks him 133rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tez Johnson, and the board ranks him 134th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel has been on the field for 46 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 85 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 4 of 4 targets for 107 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Tez Johnson has been on the field for 34 percent of TB snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 20.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he carried 1 time for 10 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he caught 1 of 1 target for 64 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 2 of 3 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaylin Noel played 17 games and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 2.1 targets a game, a 74 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tez Johnson played 16 games and scored 92.4 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR67.

He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 2.8 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jaylin Noel was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tez Johnson scored 5.8 PPR points a game and Jaylin Noel 4.0, 1.8 a game between them.

Jaylin Noel finished WR91 that year and Tez Johnson WR67.

Tez Johnson had 9 more targets than Jaylin Noel, 44 to 35.

Tez Johnson had 30 more receiving yards than Jaylin Noel, 322 to 292.

This season Jaylin Noel holds the bigger snap share, 46 percent against 34 percent.

This season Jaylin Noel holds the bigger target share, 10 percent against 7 percent.

Byes and availability

Jaylin Noel is off in Week 8. No bye is listed for Tez Johnson.

What would change the answer

0.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.