Should I start Christian Watson or Jaylen Waddle in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Christian Watson's market-based projection is 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 211 players with a market-based projection.

Jaylen Waddle's market-based projection is 11.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 24th highest figure of the 211 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Christian Watson, and the board ranks him 18th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylen Waddle, and the board ranks him 26th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 15; 2QB: ADP 36.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Christian Watson has been on the field for 77 percent of GB snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 21 of the offence's 88 third down targets, had 3 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 66 targets have averaged 13.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against DAL he caught 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DET he caught 5 of 8 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CAR he caught 8 of 10 targets for 113 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Jaylen Waddle has been on the field for 63 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 1 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 9.8 air yards.

In Week 6 against SEA he caught 4 of 7 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ARI he caught 4 of 7 targets for 48 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against KC he caught 3 of 6 targets for 39 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Christian Watson played 10 games and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 18 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jaylen Waddle played 16 games and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.3 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 14.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jaylen Waddle was available for 6 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Christian Watson scored 13.2 PPR points a game and Jaylen Waddle 12.1, 1.1 a game between them.

Christian Watson finished WR46 that year and Jaylen Waddle WR24.

Jaylen Waddle had 45 more targets than Christian Watson, 100 to 55.

Jaylen Waddle had 299 more receiving yards than Christian Watson, 910 to 611.

This season Christian Watson holds the bigger snap share, 77 percent against 63 percent.

This season Jaylen Waddle holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Christian Watson is off in Week 11 and Jaylen Waddle in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Christian Watson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

3.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.