Should I start Josh Downs or C.J. Stroud in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 9:11 AM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Start C.J. Stroud: 96 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Josh Downs's 80 percent of the snaps and 18 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Josh Downs for C.J. Stroud?
Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Josh Downs 80 (11.4 a game over 7 games).
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
WR54 · IND · bye 13
2026 vs anytime td line 1-8
- Market-based projection
- 10.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 134
QB19 · HOU · bye 8
2026 vs pass yds line 6-2
- Market-based projection
- 16.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 135
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The gap
- Board size306 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 134th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on C.J. Stroud, and the board ranks him 135th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 30.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market has C.J. Stroud at 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Josh Downs's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 9
Through Week 9, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 18 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 44 two minute targets.
His 57 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.
In Week 7 against MIN he caught 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 9 against DAL he caught 3 of 6 targets for 24 yards and did not score.
Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud has been on the field for 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and thrown 9.7 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 41 of 304 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.
In Week 6 against JAX he completed 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 5 yards.
In Week 7 against NYG he completed 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.
In Week 9 against LAC he completed 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, threw 5 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 20 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.
He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.
That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 C.J. Stroud played 14 games and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.
He threw for 3041 yards on 423 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.
That came to 30.2 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Josh Downs was available for 2 games more.
Side by side
In 2025 C.J. Stroud scored 15.5 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 6.9 a game between them.
Josh Downs finished WR44 and C.J. Stroud QB21, which are two different ladders.
Josh Downs is a wide receiver and C.J. Stroud a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.
Byes and availability
Josh Downs is off in Week 13 and C.J. Stroud in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Josh Downs for C.J. Stroud?
Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Josh Downs 80 (11.4 a game over 7 games).
Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Josh Downs?
No. Keep C.J. Stroud: he projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Josh Downs 80 (11.4 a game over 7 games).
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Josh Downs playing Week 10?
- Is C.J. Stroud playing Week 10?
- Colts depth chart
- Texans depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
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- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
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- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
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- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
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