Should I start Darren Waller or Josh Downs in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 9:11 AM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Start Josh Downs: 80 percent of the snaps and 18 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Darren Waller's 54 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Darren Waller for Josh Downs?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Darren Waller 50 (6.2 a game over 8 games).
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
TE24 · CAR · bye 5
2026 vs anytime td line 3-5
- Market-based projection
- 4.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 133
WR54 · IND · bye 13
2026 vs anytime td line 1-8
- Market-based projection
- 10.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 134
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The gap
- Board size306 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Darren Waller, and the board ranks him 133rd overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 134th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Darren Waller is 1.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Darren Waller's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 9
Through Week 9, Darren Waller has been on the field for 49 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 15 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 0 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 37 two minute targets.
His 35 targets have averaged 9.7 air yards.
In Week 7 against TB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 50 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 8 against GB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.
In Week 9 against DEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 90 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
Through Week 9, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 18 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 44 two minute targets.
His 57 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.
In Week 7 against MIN he caught 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 9 against DAL he caught 3 of 6 targets for 24 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.
He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.
That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.
He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.
That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Josh Downs was available for 7 games more.
Side by side
In 2025 Darren Waller scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 1.3 a game between them.
Darren Waller finished TE33 and Josh Downs WR44, which are two different ladders.
Darren Waller is a tight end and Josh Downs a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.
Byes and availability
Darren Waller is off in Week 5 and Josh Downs in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Darren Waller for Josh Downs?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Darren Waller 50 (6.2 a game over 8 games).
Should I drop Josh Downs for Darren Waller?
No. Keep Josh Downs: he projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Darren Waller 50 (6.2 a game over 8 games).
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Darren Waller playing Week 10?
- Is Josh Downs playing Week 10?
- Panthers depth chart
- Colts depth chart
- Week 10 WR rankings
- Week 10 TE rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings








