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C.J. Stroud or Marvin Mims: who should I start in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 14, 2026 at 3:06 PM ET

C.J. Stroud's market-based projection is 13.4 points a game ahead of Marvin Mims's this season, and that is the order this page leads on. Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, so there is no current draft order to give between them: the market-based projection is the live read on these two.

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QB14 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 4-1

Market-based projection
16.7 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

WR51 · DEN · bye unlisted

2025 vs anytime td line 2-13

Market-based projection
3.3 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

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The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Price difference13.4 points a game
  • Board size198 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

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The market-based projections

C.J. Stroud's market-based projection is 16.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 24th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Marvin Mims's market-based projection is 3.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 129th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on C.J. Stroud: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 94th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 30.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Marvin Mims: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 140th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, C.J. Stroud has been on the field for 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 202 times and thrown 9.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 29 of 202 dropbacks and scrambled 7 times.

In Week 3 against IND he completed 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 10 yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he completed 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 5 against TEN he completed 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 7 yards.

Through Week 5, Marvin Mims has been on the field for 22 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 28 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 17 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 2.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against KC he was not given the ball.

In Week 4 against SF he caught 1 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAC he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 C.J. Stroud played 14 games and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He threw for 3041 yards on 423 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.2 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Marvin Mims played 15 games and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 8.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Marvin Mims was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 C.J. Stroud scored 15.5 PPR points a game and Marvin Mims 6.2, 9.3 a game between them.

C.J. Stroud finished QB21 and Marvin Mims WR66, which are two different ladders.

C.J. Stroud is a quarterback and Marvin Mims a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

C.J. Stroud is off in Week 8. No bye is listed for Marvin Mims.

What would change the answer

13.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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