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Should I start Theo Johnson or C.J. Stroud in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 10:11 AM ET.

Start C.J. Stroud: 96 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Theo Johnson's 35 percent of the snaps and 4 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE28 · NYG · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
1.7 pts a game

QB16 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 6-2

Market-based projection
16.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
143

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Theo Johnson, and the board ranks him 142nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on C.J. Stroud, and the board ranks him 143rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 30.

The market-based projections

Theo Johnson's market-based projection is 1.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 133rd highest figure of the 207 players with a market-based projection.

The market has C.J. Stroud at 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

C.J. Stroud's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Theo Johnson has been on the field for 33 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 2 of 3 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against PHI he was not given the ball.

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud has been on the field for 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and thrown 9.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 41 of 304 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 6 against JAX he completed 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

In Week 7 against NYG he completed 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

In Week 9 against LAC he completed 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, threw 5 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Theo Johnson played 15 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.

He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 4.9 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 C.J. Stroud played 14 games and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He threw for 3041 yards on 423 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.2 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Theo Johnson was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 C.J. Stroud scored 15.5 PPR points a game and Theo Johnson 8.5, 6.9 a game between them.

Theo Johnson finished TE18 and C.J. Stroud QB21, which are two different ladders.

Theo Johnson is a tight end and C.J. Stroud a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

C.J. Stroud is off in Week 8. No bye is listed for Theo Johnson.

What would change the answer

C.J. Stroud has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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