Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Cooper Kupp in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Patrick Mahomes's market-based projection is 17.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Cooper Kupp's market-based projection is 5.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 99th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 78th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Cooper Kupp, and the board ranks him 76th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 99 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 289 times and thrown 5.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 49 of 289 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.

In Week 7 against SEA he completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 14 yards.

In Week 8 against DEN he completed 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 9 against NYJ he completed 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 9, Cooper Kupp has been on the field for 71 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 78 third down targets, had 0 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 8.1 air yards.

In Week 7 against KC he caught 2 of 2 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CHI he caught 1 of 3 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against ARI he caught 3 of 4 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Cooper Kupp played 16 games and scored 117.3 PPR points, 7.3 a game, finishing WR53.

He caught 47 of 70 targets for 593 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.4 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 12.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Cooper Kupp was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Cooper Kupp 7.3, 13.9 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 and Cooper Kupp WR53, which are two different ladders.

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback and Cooper Kupp a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Cooper Kupp in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Patrick Mahomes is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

11.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.