Dak Prescott or Patrick Mahomes: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Dak Prescott at 17.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 14th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Patrick Mahomes at 17.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 18th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Dak Prescott: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 65th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 15.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Patrick Mahomes: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 75th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 27.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Dak Prescott has been on the field for 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 36 times and thrown 9.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 3 of 36 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against NYG he completed 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 14 yards.

Through Week 1, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 33 times and thrown 4.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 5 of 33 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 1 against DEN he completed 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 27 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dak Prescott played 17 games and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He threw for 4552 yards on 600 attempts with 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 35.3 attempts a game at 7.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Dak Prescott 19.0, 2.1 a game between them.

Dak Prescott finished QB6 that year and Patrick Mahomes QB11.

Dak Prescott had 98 more pass attempts than Patrick Mahomes, 600 to 502.

Dak Prescott had 965 more passing yards than Patrick Mahomes, 4552 to 3587.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Dak Prescott is off in Week 14 and Patrick Mahomes in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.