Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Trevor Lawrence in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 11:51 PM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Latest
- : Patrick Mahomes: Listed Questionable (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)
Week 10 verdict
Start Patrick Mahomes over Trevor Lawrence
- Market projects
- 17.0
- fantasy pts
- ATL D vs QB
- 15.9
- 11th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 16.8
- fantasy pts
- TEN D vs QB
- 19.4
- 9th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 96%
- Through Week 9
Start Patrick Mahomes: 98 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Trevor Lawrence's 94 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Trevor Lawrence?
Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 138 (17.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Trevor Lawrence, 17.0 to 16.8 projected PPR points. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
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Your next move
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.
Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.
QB10 · KC · bye 5
2026 vs pass yds line 4-4
- Market-based projection
- 17.1 pts a game
QB23 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs pass yds line 4-4
- Market-based projection
- 17.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 210
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The gap
- Board size313 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 82nd overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Lawrence, and the board ranks him 210th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
Patrick Mahomes's market-based projection is 17.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 212 players with a market-based projection.
The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Trevor Lawrence's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 9
Through Week 9, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 99 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 289 times and thrown 5.6 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 49 of 289 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.
In Week 7 against SEA he completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 14 yards.
In Week 8 against DEN he completed 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 6 yards.
In Week 9 against NYJ he completed 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.
Through Week 9, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 245 times and thrown 8.2 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 37 of 245 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.
In Week 6 against HOU he completed 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 12 yards.
In Week 8 against IND he completed 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.
In Week 9 against BAL he completed 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.
He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.
That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Trevor Lawrence was available for 3 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Trevor Lawrence 20.6, 0.6 a game between them.
Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 that year and Trevor Lawrence QB4.
Trevor Lawrence had 58 more pass attempts than Patrick Mahomes, 560 to 502.
Trevor Lawrence had 420 more passing yards than Patrick Mahomes, 4007 to 3587.
This season Patrick Mahomes holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 96 percent.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Trevor Lawrence in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.
Patrick Mahomes is listed as questionable on the injury report.
What would change the answer
Trevor Lawrence has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Trevor Lawrence?
Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 138 (17.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Trevor Lawrence, 17.0 to 16.8 projected PPR points. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Patrick Mahomes?
Not on these numbers alone. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 137 (17.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Trevor Lawrence, 17.0 to 16.8 projected PPR points. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Patrick Mahomes playing Week 10?
- Is Trevor Lawrence playing Week 10?
- Chiefs depth chart
- Jaguars depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings
