Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Courtland Sutton in Week 9?
Updated Nov 3, 6:26 AM ET. Week 10 answers post Tuesday.
Start Tetairoa McMillan: 78 percent of the snaps and 26 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Courtland Sutton's 76 percent of the snaps and 15 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Tetairoa McMillan?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), Courtland Sutton 71 (8.9 a game over 8 games).
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
WR38 · CAR · bye 5
2026 vs anytime td line 1-6
- Market-based projection
- 15.2 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 96
WR40 · DEN · bye 10
2026 vs anytime td line 1-7
- Market-based projection
- 9.0 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 102
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The gap
- Board size297 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 96th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Courtland Sutton, and the board ranks him 102nd overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 2.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Courtland Sutton is 2.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Tetairoa McMillan's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 8
Through Week 8, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 83 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 12 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 3 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 34 two minute targets.
His 65 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.
In Week 6 against PHI he caught 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards and did not score.
In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.
Through Week 8, Courtland Sutton has been on the field for 77 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 13 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 2 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 26 two minute targets.
His 37 targets have averaged 11.1 air yards.
In Week 6 against SEA he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.
In Week 7 against ARI he caught 3 of 5 targets for 45 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against KC he caught 4 of 4 targets for 53 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.
He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.
That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Courtland Sutton played 17 games and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.
He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.
That came to 7.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Both were available for 17 games that season.
Head to head
In 2025 Courtland Sutton scored 12.9 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 0.5 a game between them.
Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and Courtland Sutton WR13.
Courtland Sutton had 2 more targets than Tetairoa McMillan, 124 to 122.
Courtland Sutton had 3 more receiving yards than Tetairoa McMillan, 1017 to 1014.
This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 83 percent against 77 percent.
This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 26 percent against 16 percent.
Byes and availability
Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Courtland Sutton in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Tetairoa McMillan?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), Courtland Sutton 71 (8.9 a game over 8 games).
Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for Courtland Sutton?
No. Keep Tetairoa McMillan: he projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), Courtland Sutton 71 (8.9 a game over 8 games).
Should I drop Courtland Sutton?
Both players in full
Week 9 on the board
- Is Tetairoa McMillan playing Week 9?
- Is Courtland Sutton playing Week 9?
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