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Should I start Drew Lock or Darren Waller in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 11:21 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Seahawks to start QB Drew Lock vs. Raiders, giving Sam Darnold more time to heal (ESPN)
  • : Drew Lock: Listed Questionable (Oblique) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Seahawks' Quenton Nelson, Sam Darnold among starters ruled out (ESPN)

Start Drew Lock: 97 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Darren Waller's 54 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Your next move

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB17 · SEA · bye 11

Market-based projection
14.8 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
129

TE22 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 3-5

Market-based projection
4.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
130

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Lock, and the board ranks him 129th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Darren Waller, and the board ranks him 130th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Drew Lock is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Darren Waller is 1.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Drew Lock's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Drew Lock has been on the field for 97 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 80 times and thrown 6.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 11 of 80 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 14 yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he completed 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 9 against ARI he completed 19 of 28 passes for 175 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 18 yards.

Through Week 9, Darren Waller has been on the field for 49 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 0 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 9.7 air yards.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 50 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against GB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 90 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Drew Lock played 5 games and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He threw for 15 yards on 3 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 0.6 attempts a game at 5.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Darren Waller was available for 4 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Darren Waller scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Drew Lock 0.0, 9.8 a game between them.

Drew Lock finished QB73 and Darren Waller TE33, which are two different ladders.

Drew Lock is a quarterback and Darren Waller a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Drew Lock is off in Week 11 and Darren Waller in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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