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Should I start Drew Lock or Justin Herbert in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 2:26 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Seahawks to start QB Drew Lock vs. Raiders, giving Sam Darnold more time to heal (ESPN)
  • : Drew Lock: Listed Questionable (Oblique) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Justin Herbert: Listed Questionable (Finger) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Drew Lock: 97 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Justin Herbert's 93 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Your next move

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB18 · SEA · bye 11

Market-based projection
14.8 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
156

QB20 · LAC · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 3-5

Market-based projection
13.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
161

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Lock, and the board ranks him 156th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Herbert, and the board ranks him 161st overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 23; 2QB: ADP 12.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Drew Lock is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Justin Herbert is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Drew Lock's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Drew Lock has been on the field for 97 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 80 times and thrown 6.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 11 of 80 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 14 yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he completed 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 9 against ARI he completed 19 of 28 passes for 175 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 18 yards.

Through Week 9, Justin Herbert has been on the field for 97 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 287 times and thrown 7.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 56 of 287 dropbacks and scrambled 23 times.

In Week 6 against KC he completed 22 of 37 passes for 204 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 26 yards.

In Week 8 against LAR he completed 24 of 31 passes for 257 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 4 times for 15 yards.

In Week 9 against HOU he completed 13 of 23 passes for 193 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Drew Lock played 5 games and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He threw for 15 yards on 3 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 0.6 attempts a game at 5.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Herbert played 16 games and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He threw for 3727 yards on 512 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 32.0 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Herbert was available for 11 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Justin Herbert scored 18.7 PPR points a game and Drew Lock 0.0, 18.7 a game between them.

Drew Lock finished QB73 that year and Justin Herbert QB10.

Justin Herbert had 509 more pass attempts than Drew Lock, 512 to 3.

Justin Herbert had 3712 more passing yards than Drew Lock, 3727 to 15.

Their snap share this season is the same, 97 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Drew Lock is off in Week 11 and Justin Herbert in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Justin Herbert is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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