Should I start Jake Ferguson or Darren Waller in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 125th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Darren Waller, and the board ranks him 130th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Darren Waller is 1.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jake Ferguson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 55 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 82 third down targets, had 1 of its 32 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 55 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 5.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against ARI he was not given the ball.

In Week 9 against IND he caught 2 of 2 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Darren Waller has been on the field for 49 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 0 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 9.7 air yards.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 50 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against GB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 90 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Darren Waller 9.9, 1.2 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 that year and Darren Waller TE33.

Jake Ferguson had 68 more targets than Darren Waller, 102 to 34.

Jake Ferguson had 317 more receiving yards than Darren Waller, 600 to 283.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger snap share, 55 percent against 49 percent.

This season Darren Waller holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 8 percent.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14 and Darren Waller in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

Jake Ferguson is listed as out on the injury report.