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Should I start Dawson Knox or Jake Ferguson in Week 8?

Updated Oct 28, 3:41 PM ET.

Start Dawson Knox: 67 percent of the snaps and 8 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jake Ferguson's 63 percent of the snaps and 8 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Dawson Knox for Jake Ferguson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 68 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.6 a game over 9 games), Dawson Knox 33 (3.3 a game over 10 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE19 · BUF · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
3.1 pts a game

TE20 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Market-based projection
6.1 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
183

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The gap

  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dawson Knox, and the board ranks him 182nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 183rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Dawson Knox's market-based projection is 3.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 120th highest figure of the 205 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 2.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jake Ferguson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Dawson Knox has been on the field for 69 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 2 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 4.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 2 of 2 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 3 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 66 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 1 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 48 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have averaged 5.0 air yards.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dawson Knox played 17 games and scored 103.7 PPR points, 6.1 a game, finishing TE28.

He caught 36 of 49 targets for 417 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 2.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 61 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Dawson Knox 6.1, 5.0 a game between them.

Dawson Knox finished TE28 that year and Jake Ferguson TE5.

Jake Ferguson had 53 more targets than Dawson Knox, 102 to 49.

Jake Ferguson had 183 more receiving yards than Dawson Knox, 600 to 417.

This season Dawson Knox holds the bigger snap share, 69 percent against 66 percent.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger target share, 9 percent against 6 percent.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14. No bye is listed for Dawson Knox.

What would change the answer

Jake Ferguson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dawson Knox for Jake Ferguson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 68 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.6 a game over 9 games), Dawson Knox 33 (3.3 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Dawson Knox?

    No. Keep Jake Ferguson: he projects 68 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.6 a game over 9 games), Dawson Knox 33 (3.3 a game over 10 games).

Should I drop Jake Ferguson?

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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