Should I start Germie Bernard or Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Germie Bernard's market-based projection is 11.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 69th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s market-based projection is 10.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 83rd highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Germie Bernard, and the board ranks him 50th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Deebo Samuel Sr., and the board ranks him 65th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Germie Bernard has been on the field for 64 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 5.1 air yards.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 11 of 12 targets for 87 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against NO he caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he caught 5 of 5 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been on the field for 57 percent of SF snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 2.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against ARI he carried 2 times for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DEN he carried 3 times for 44 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 26 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SEA he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Germie Bernard is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.2 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 10.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Germie Bernard holds the bigger snap share, 64 percent against 57 percent.

This season Germie Bernard holds the bigger target share, 16 percent against 15 percent.

Byes and availability

Germie Bernard is off in Week 9 and Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.