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Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 2:11 AM ET.

Start Michael Penix Jr.: 99 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 62 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Michael Penix Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Penix Jr. projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 30 (3.3 a game over 9 games). Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed questionable.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR43 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-2

Overall rank
105

QB14 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-4

Overall rank
106

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Deebo Samuel Sr., and the board ranks him 105th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 106th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Deebo Samuel Sr. at 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 16.1 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 14 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been on the field for 57 percent of SF snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 2.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against ARI he carried 2 times for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DEN he carried 3 times for 44 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 26 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SEA he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 59 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 0 of 59 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 7 against SF he completed 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.

In Week 8 against TB he completed 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions and ran 5 times for 11 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.2 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 10.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Deebo Samuel Sr. was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Deebo Samuel Sr. 11.8, 1.9 a game between them.

Deebo Samuel Sr. finished WR25 and Michael Penix Jr. QB33, which are two different ladders.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is a wide receiver and Michael Penix Jr. a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Deebo Samuel Sr. is off in Week 8 and Michael Penix Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Michael Penix Jr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Penix Jr. projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 30 (3.3 a game over 9 games). Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Deebo Samuel Sr.?

    No. Keep Michael Penix Jr.: he projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 30 (3.3 a game over 9 games). Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed questionable.

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr.?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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