Should I start Kyler Murray or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 9?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyler Murray, and the board ranks him 95th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 106th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Kyler Murray's market-based projection is 16.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 18th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 16.1 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 14 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Michael Penix Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 86 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and thrown 7.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 184 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.

In Week 5 against NO he completed 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 7 times for 54 yards.

In Week 7 against IND he completed 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 41 yards.

In Week 8 against DET he completed 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 36 yards.

Through Week 8, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 59 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 0 of 59 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 7 against SF he completed 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.

In Week 8 against TB he completed 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions and ran 5 times for 11 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Penix Jr. was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Kyler Murray scored 16.2 PPR points a game and Michael Penix Jr. 13.7, 2.5 a game between them.

Kyler Murray finished QB38 that year and Michael Penix Jr. QB33.

Michael Penix Jr. had 115 more pass attempts than Kyler Murray, 276 to 161.

Michael Penix Jr. had 1020 more passing yards than Kyler Murray, 1982 to 962.

This season Michael Penix Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 86 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Kyler Murray is off in Week 6 and Michael Penix Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Kyler Murray is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Michael Penix Jr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.