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Should I start Zay Flowers or DeMario Douglas in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 6:16 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

WR · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
10.5
fantasy pts
JAX D vs WR
38.0
4th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
65%
Through Week 8
Target share
30%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · NE · vs GB

Market projects
7.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
35.7
9th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
55%
Through Week 8
Target share
16%
Through Week 8
Start Flowers or Douglas? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Zay Flowers: 85 percent of the snaps and 32 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against DeMario Douglas's 57 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 8 games), DeMario Douglas 62 (7.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zay Flowers over DeMario Douglas.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR12 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-4

Market-based projection
10.5 pts a game

WR43 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 3-5

Market-based projection
9.5 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
106

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 33rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on DeMario Douglas, and the board ranks him 106th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Zay Flowers's market-based projection is 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 19th highest figure of the 175 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for DeMario Douglas is 2.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

DeMario Douglas's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 65 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 38 two minute targets.

His 58 targets have averaged 8.2 air yards.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 6 of 11 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he caught 8 of 11 targets for 137 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against BUF he caught 0 of 5 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, DeMario Douglas has been on the field for 55 percent of NE snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 10.6 air yards.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 7 of 8 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 3 of 4 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against MIA he caught 3 of 3 targets for 76 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 DeMario Douglas played 17 games and scored 95.8 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing WR65.

He caught 31 of 46 targets for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 2.7 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 14.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 26 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and DeMario Douglas 5.6, 8.7 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 that year and DeMario Douglas WR65.

Zay Flowers had 72 more targets than DeMario Douglas, 118 to 46.

Zay Flowers had 764 more receiving yards than DeMario Douglas, 1211 to 447.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger snap share, 65 percent against 55 percent.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and DeMario Douglas in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

DeMario Douglas has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 8 games), DeMario Douglas 62 (7.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zay Flowers over DeMario Douglas.

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for DeMario Douglas?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 8 games), DeMario Douglas 62 (7.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zay Flowers over DeMario Douglas.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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