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Start Zay Flowers or DeMario Douglas? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 6:16 AM ET.

Start

WR · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
10.5
fantasy pts
JAX D vs WR
38.0
4th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
65%
Through Week 8
Target share
30%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · NE · vs GB

Market projects
7.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
35.7
9th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
55%
Through Week 8
Target share
16%
Through Week 8

Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 8 games), DeMario Douglas 62 (7.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zay Flowers over DeMario Douglas.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Zay Flowers over DeMario Douglas in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Zay Flowers at 10.5 points and DeMario Douglas at 7.7, a gap of 2.8. No player market is posted for DeMario Douglas this week yet, so his 7.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (4.8, 8.9 and 9.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for DeMario Douglas yet. His market-based projections were 4.8, 8.9 and 9.4 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 7.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for DeMario Douglas is 0.4 touchdowns (7 market sources).

Player markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 45 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (11, 10 and 11 market sources).

That puts Zay Flowers 2.8 points ahead of DeMario Douglas on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

DeMario Douglas and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 35.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 9th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 157 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.

Zay Flowers and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 38.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 210 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX.

By points allowed to the position, Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

DeMario Douglas is not on the injury report.

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, DeMario Douglas played 55 percent of NE snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

DeMario Douglas, Week 5 against LV: 37 of 75 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 65 yards, 2 touchdowns.

DeMario Douglas, Week 6 against NYJ: 40 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

DeMario Douglas, Week 7 against CHI: 35 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards.

DeMario Douglas, Week 8 against MIA: 3 targets and 3 catches for 76 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Zay Flowers played 65 percent of BAL snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 5 against ATL: 62 of 76 snaps, 1 carry for 13 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 53 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 7 against CIN: 57 of 67 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 137 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 8 against BUF: 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, DeMario Douglas played 17 games for NE and scored 95.8 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing WR65.

He caught 31 of 46 targets for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 233 air yards.

He was on the field for 26 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 8 games), DeMario Douglas 62 (7.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zay Flowers over DeMario Douglas.

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for DeMario Douglas?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 8 games), DeMario Douglas 62 (7.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zay Flowers over DeMario Douglas.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board