Should I start Derrick Henry or Rashee Rice in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Derrick Henry's market-based projection is 13.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 48th highest figure of the 215 players with a market-based projection.

Rashee Rice's market-based projection is 13.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 49th highest figure of the 215 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 28th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rashee Rice, and the board ranks him 36th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 55 percent of BAL snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 72 third down targets, had 16 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 11 times for 53 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 17 times for 57 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Rashee Rice has been on the field for 61 percent of KC snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 32 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against LV he was not given the ball.

In Week 8 against DEN he caught 7 of 8 targets for 53 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against NYJ he caught 5 of 7 targets for 49 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Rashee Rice played 8 games and scored 150.1 PPR points, 18.8 a game, finishing WR40.

He caught 53 of 78 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 18 red zone targets.

That came to 9.8 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 73 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Derrick Henry was available for 9 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Rashee Rice scored 18.8 PPR points a game and Derrick Henry 16.4, 2.3 a game between them.

Derrick Henry finished RB8 and Rashee Rice WR40, which are two different ladders.

Derrick Henry is a running back and Rashee Rice a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Derrick Henry is off in Week 13 and Rashee Rice in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.