Should I start Derrick Henry or Zach Charbonnet in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Derrick Henry's market-based projection is 12.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 54th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Zach Charbonnet's market-based projection is 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 67th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 33rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zach Charbonnet, and the board ranks him 40th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 56 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 16 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 11 times for 53 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Zach Charbonnet has taken 32 percent of the carries, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 8 third down targets and seen 0 of its 5 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have come 1.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 8 against CHI he carried 6 times for 23 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Zach Charbonnet played 16 games and scored 181.4 PPR points, 11.3 a game, finishing RB24.

He carried 184 times for 730 yards and 12 touchdowns, and caught 20 of 24 targets for 144 more yards.

That came to 11-12 carries a game at 4.0 yards a carry and 1.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Derrick Henry was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Zach Charbonnet 11.3, 5.1 a game between them.

Derrick Henry finished RB8 that year and Zach Charbonnet RB24.

Derrick Henry had 123 more carries than Zach Charbonnet, 307 to 184.

Zach Charbonnet had 5 more catches than Derrick Henry, 20 to 15.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger share of the carries, 71 percent against 32 percent.

Byes and availability

Derrick Henry is off in Week 13 and Zach Charbonnet in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.