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Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or DeVonta Smith in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 7:11 AM ET.

Latest

  • : DeVonta Smith: Questionable to Out (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start DeVonta Smith: 84 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against MarShawn Lloyd's 31 percent of the snaps and 25 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for DeVonta Smith?

Yes, on the rest of the season. DeVonta Smith projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (8.4 a game over 8 games), MarShawn Lloyd 48 (6.0 a game over 8 games). DeVonta Smith is listed questionable.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB53 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 4-4

Market-based projection
4.9 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
149

WR54 · PHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Overall rank
150

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on MarShawn Lloyd, and the board ranks him 149th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 48.

Live drafts hold no current pick on DeVonta Smith, and the board ranks him 150th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 11; 2QB: ADP 28.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 1.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for DeVonta Smith is 2.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

MarShawn Lloyd's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, MarShawn Lloyd has been on the field for 35 percent of GB snaps, taken 35 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 88 third down targets, had 3 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against DAL he carried 8 times for 10 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DET he carried 6 times for 20 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CAR he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 9 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has been on the field for 86 percent of PHI snaps, drawn 33 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 41 targets have averaged 12.2 air yards.

In Week 2 against TEN he caught 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CAR he caught 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

The season feed carries no line for MarShawn Lloyd in the last completed season.

In 2025 DeVonta Smith played 17 games and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 13.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Side by side

MarShawn Lloyd is a running back and DeVonta Smith a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

MarShawn Lloyd is off in Week 11 and DeVonta Smith in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

DeVonta Smith is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for DeVonta Smith?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. DeVonta Smith projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (8.4 a game over 8 games), MarShawn Lloyd 48 (6.0 a game over 8 games). DeVonta Smith is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop DeVonta Smith for MarShawn Lloyd?

    No. Keep DeVonta Smith: he projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (8.4 a game over 8 games), MarShawn Lloyd 48 (6.0 a game over 8 games). DeVonta Smith is listed questionable.

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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