Should I start Justin Jefferson or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Justin Jefferson's market-based projection is 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 37th highest figure of the 207 players with a market-based projection.

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 42nd highest figure of the 207 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 29th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 30th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 85 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 3 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 0.6 a game between them.

Justin Jefferson finished WR21 that year and Tetairoa McMillan WR16.

Justin Jefferson had 19 more targets than Tetairoa McMillan, 141 to 122.

Justin Jefferson had 34 more receiving yards than Tetairoa McMillan, 1048 to 1014.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 85 percent against 74 percent.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 26 percent against 25 percent.

Byes and availability

Justin Jefferson is off in Week 6 and Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.