Should I start DJ Moore or Josh Downs in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 9:36 AM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Week 10 verdict
Start DJ Moore over Josh Downs

- Market projects
- 11.1
- recent weeks avg
- NYJ D vs WR
- 28.5
- 10th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 55%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 18%
- Through Week 9

- Market projects
- 9.8
- recent weeks avg
- MIA D vs WR
- 25.4
- 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 81%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 20%
- Through Week 9
Start DJ Moore over Josh Downs in Week 10: 11.1 to 9.8 PPR points a game over recent weeks. Downs faces MIA, which allows the 3rd fewest fantasy points to WRs.
Should I drop Josh Downs for DJ Moore?
Yes, on the rest of the season. DJ Moore projects 88 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.0 a game over 8 games), Josh Downs 80 (11.4 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts DJ Moore over Josh Downs.
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
WR39 · BUF · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 2-4
- Market-based projection
- 10.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 96
WR54 · IND · bye 13
2026 vs anytime td line 1-8
- Market-based projection
- 10.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 134
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The gap
- Board size306 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on DJ Moore, and the board ranks him 96th overall on the rest of his evidence.
By format he goes standard: ADP 16; 2QB: ADP 37.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 134th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for DJ Moore is 2.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
DJ Moore's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 9
Through Week 9, DJ Moore has been on the field for 55 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 14 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 1 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 29 two minute targets.
His 32 targets have averaged 15.7 air yards.
In Week 4 against NE he carried 1 time for 6 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against BAL he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 4 of 7 targets for 82 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 9 against MIN he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 3 of 5 targets for 25 yards and did not score.
Through Week 9, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 18 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 44 two minute targets.
His 57 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.
In Week 7 against MIN he caught 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 9 against DAL he caught 3 of 6 targets for 24 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 DJ Moore played 17 games and scored 170.2 PPR points, 10.0 a game, finishing WR35.
He caught 50 of 85 targets for 682 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.
That came to 5.0 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 13.6 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 85 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.
He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.
That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
DJ Moore was available for 1 game more.
Head to head
In 2025 DJ Moore scored 10.0 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 1.5 a game between them.
DJ Moore finished WR35 that year and Josh Downs WR44.
Josh Downs had 3 more targets than DJ Moore, 88 to 85.
DJ Moore had 116 more receiving yards than Josh Downs, 682 to 566.
This season Josh Downs holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 55 percent.
This season Josh Downs holds the bigger target share, 20 percent against 18 percent.
Byes and availability
DJ Moore is off in Week 7 and Josh Downs in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Josh Downs for DJ Moore?
Yes, on the rest of the season. DJ Moore projects 88 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.0 a game over 8 games), Josh Downs 80 (11.4 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts DJ Moore over Josh Downs.
Should I drop DJ Moore for Josh Downs?
No. Keep DJ Moore: he projects 88 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.0 a game over 8 games), Josh Downs 80 (11.4 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts DJ Moore over Josh Downs.
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is DJ Moore playing Week 10?
- Is Josh Downs playing Week 10?
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