Start DJ Moore or Josh Downs? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start DJ Moore over Josh Downs in Week 10.

Market-based projections have DJ Moore at 11.1 points and Josh Downs at 9.8, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for DJ Moore this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (12.1 and 10.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Josh Downs this week yet, so his 9.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (10.9, 7.8 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take DJ Moore at ADP 46 and Josh Downs at 96.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for DJ Moore yet. His market-based projections were 12.1 and 10.1 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for DJ Moore is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Josh Downs yet. His market-based projections were 10.9, 7.8 and 10.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 9.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts DJ Moore 1.3 points ahead of Josh Downs on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

DJ Moore and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 28.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

Josh Downs and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 25.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, DJ Moore has the softer matchup.

Injury status

DJ Moore is not on the injury report.

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, DJ Moore played 55 percent of BUF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 29 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

DJ Moore, Week 3 against LAC: 42 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 6 catches for 67 yards.

DJ Moore, Week 4 against NE: 23 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for 6 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.

DJ Moore, Week 8 against BAL: 54 of 82 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 82 yards, 1 touchdown.

DJ Moore, Week 9 against MIN: 1 carry for 11 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Through Week 9, Josh Downs played 81 percent of IND snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 6 against TEN: 71 of 83 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 7 against MIN: 52 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 8 against JAX: 46 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Josh Downs, Week 9 against DAL: 49 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, DJ Moore played 17 games for CHI and scored 170.2 PPR points, 10.0 a game, finishing WR35.

He caught 50 of 85 targets for 682 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 460 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start DJ Moore over Carnell Tate.
• Start Christian Watson over DJ Moore.
• Start DJ Moore over Denzel Boston.
• Start Josh Downs over DeMario Douglas.
• Start Josh Downs over Denzel Boston.
• Start Josh Downs over Devaughn Vele.