Should I start Luther Burden III or Germie Bernard in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Luther Burden III's market-based projection is 12.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 25th highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

Germie Bernard's market-based projection is 12.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 28th highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Luther Burden III, and the board ranks him 19th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Germie Bernard, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 60 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 2 of its 31 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 43 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 4 times for 2 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against ATL he caught 8 of 8 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Germie Bernard has been on the field for 57 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 32 targets have averaged 5.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against CLE he caught 2 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 6 of 9 targets for 80 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 11 of 12 targets for 87 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Germie Bernard is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Luther Burden III holds the bigger snap share, 60 percent against 57 percent.

This season Luther Burden III holds the bigger target share, 22 percent against 15 percent.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and Germie Bernard in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.